Stockwatch: Bullishness Or Belligerence At Roche And Biogen?

Biogen And Roche’s First-Quarter Results Make Unusual Bedfellows

After only two weeks of the first-quarter 2020 earnings season for biopharmaceutical companies, the tempo of the announcements seems already to have been defined. Unless companies are exposed to, on the one hand, medical devices, or on the other, consumer health or diagnostics, the impact of the coronavirus pandemic on pure play biopharmaceutical companies has so far been marginal.

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ANDY SMITH GIVES A LIFE SCIENCES INVESTOR'S PERSPECTIVE ON BIOPHARMA BUSINESS

Roche reported first-quarter sales of CHF15.14bn, up 2% from the same period in 2019. This easily beat analysts’ consensus estimates of CHF14.65bn. A strong Swiss franc reduced Roche’s group revenue growth in constant currencies from 7%. In Swiss franc terms, the sales growth in Roche’s pharmaceuticals and diagnostics divisions were 3% and -1%, respectively. In a bullish move, Roche maintained its full-year 2020 sales and core earnings guidance, and confirmed further dividend increases. This contrasts with many other companies where financial guidance has either been reduced or withdrawn, and dividends cancelled due to the coronavirus pandemic. (In a further bullish, although perhaps premature statement, Roche noted that its “business had so far proved resilient in this difficult environment.”

Roche’s pharmaceutical division accounted for 81% of its first-quarter sales. The monoclonal antibodies Avastin (bevacizumab), Rituxan (rituximab) and Herceptin (trastuzumab) remain its largest products; together comprising 28% of first-quarter sales. Sales of these products fell 13%, 15% and 24%, respectively, largely due to biosimilar competition

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