Bristol’s 2025 Guidance Falls Short, But CEO Boerner Warned This Was Coming

$2bn In Cost Cuts Planned; Medicare Redesign Neutral

Boerner warned a year ago that BMS may see its revenue falter in the middle of this decade and the company’s 2025 guidance suggests that will happen this year after 2024 beat consensus.

BMS forecast an almost $3bn revenue decline in 2025 (Shutterstock)

CEO Christopher Boerner warned at the J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference in January 2024, two months into his tenure as chief exec of Bristol Myers Squibb, that the company would navigate a few years of losses of exclusivity for key products between 2025 and 2030, with a return to revenue growth later in the decade. That scenario played out on 6 February when BMS reported good 2024 revenue growth, but its 2025 guidance suggests a nearly $3bn year-over-year decline.

Key Takeaways
  • BMS reported above-consensus Q4 and full-year 2024 revenue, but guided to lower-than-expected revenue in 2025 as new product sales rise but not enough to fully offset losses of exclusivity.
  • The company also announced a further $2bn in cost cuts on top of last year’s $1.5bn cost-cutting plan to make BMS more efficient as it delivers data to support launches later in this decade

The company reported $12.3bn in fourth quarter revenue and $48.3bn in full-year 2024 revenue, which were up 8% and 7%, respectively, from the like periods in 2023 and above analyst consensus of $11.6bn for Q4. Non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) were $1.67 for the fourth quarter, above consensus of $1.46. BMS guided to $45.5bn in 2025 revenue and $6.55-$6.85 in non-GAAP EPS, below consensus of $46.3bn and $6

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