Stock Watch: Blockbuster Promise? Buyer Beware?

Are Drugs With $1bn In Annual Sales A Threatened Species?

Big pharma is under pressure to find the next big thing, and new launches bring high hopes. But focusing on the number of new drugs approved each year may mislead on the sector’s success if profitability and significant sales elude a majority.

Stock Watch Image, Andy Smith
ANDY SMITH OFFERS A LIFE SCIENCE INVESTOR'S PERSPECTIVE ON BIOPHARMA BUSINESS

As the business development directors of big pharma companies flock to the annual J.P. Morgan Healthcare conference in San Francisco, important meetings will happen away from the conference ballrooms and break-out sessions where big companies meet privately with small ones.

When I worked as a commercial person in a big pharma company, I was told of a cross-functional analysis where the number of in-licensing transaction evaluations that had comprised years of work by the business development and licensing groups, and their estimated peak sales values, were reviewed by colleagues in portfolio development

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